NIC Logo
NIC Home		 National Intelligence Council banner
About the NIC
2025 Project
Global Trends
Recent NIC Publications
Declassified NIEs
DNI Home
 

NIC 2020 Project

28 June 2004
Climate Change
Conference

06 June 2004
Latin America 2020 Seminar

25 May 2004
Changing Nature
of Warfare

05 May 2004
Asia in 2020
Workshop

28 April 2004
Europe in 2020
Workshop

25 April 2004
Global Trends
2020 Workshop:
Russia

16 Mar 2004
Africa in 2020
Workshop

12 Mar 2004
Middle East in
2020 Workshop

09 Jan 2004
Africa in 2020
Panel

08 Dec 2003 Commonwealth Conference

24 Nov 2003 Seminar on Asian Responses to US

06 Nov 2003 Inaugural Workshop on the NIC 2020 Project

25 May 2004
Changing Nature of Warfare

The NIC 2020 Project held a workshop on the "Changing Nature of Warfare" in Washington DC. Key topics and questions focused on:

  • Surveying the prospects for conflict around the world between today and 2020.
  • What are the contemporary characteristics of war that are likely to persist into the future? How can we tell, are there signposts? And, what are the characteristics of contemporary conflict that are likely to be consigned to the dustbin of history by 2020?
  • What are the emerging characteristics of war?

The National Intelligence Council routinely sponsors unclassified conferences with outside experts to sharpen the level of debate on critical issues. The views expressed in the following papers are those of individual participants. They are presented not as final reports of the NIC 2020 project but to stimulate discussion and debate. The papers are labeled discussion paper -- does not represent the views of the US Government -- and should not be cited in any other manner.


  25 May 2004: Changing Nature of Warfare

         How Has War Changed Since the End of the Cold War?
        Adobe Acrobat Format 97 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 203 KB (word format)

         Does the U.S. Face a Future of Never-ending Subnational & Transnational
         Violence?
        Adobe Acrobat Format 74 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 78 KB (word format)

         Global Evolutions and the Role of Nuclear Weapons: Alternative Futures for
         the Next Decade
        Adobe Acrobat Format 55 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 53 KB (word format)

         Modern Conventional Warfare: An Overview
        Adobe Acrobat Format 78 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 63 KB (word format)

         European Perspectives on Security - Lessons of the Conflicts in the Balkans,
         the Middle East and Africa
        Adobe Acrobat Format 99 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 76 KB (word format)

         Lessons of Post-Cold War Conflict: Middle eastern Lessons and Perspectives
        Adobe Acrobat Format 184 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 257 KB (word format)

         Insurgency in Iraq and Afghanistan: Change and Continuity
        Adobe Acrobat Format 129 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 88 KB (word format)

         The Evolution of Conflict Through 2020: Demands on Personnel, Machines,
         and Missions
        Adobe Acrobat Format 106 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 208 KB (word format)

         The Chinese People's Liberation Army in 2020
        Adobe Acrobat Format 93 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 208 KB (word format)

         Caught in the Crossfire: Australian and Asia-Pacific Responses to the
         Changing Nature of War
        Adobe Acrobat Format 94 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 209 KB (word format)

         The American Way of War through 2020
        Adobe Acrobat Format 146 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 104 KB (word format)

         Fighting on the Edges: The Nature of War in 2020
        Adobe Acrobat Format 51 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 45 KB (word format)

         Possibilities of War: The Confluence of Persistent Contemporary Flashpoints
         and Worrisome New Trouble Spots
        Adobe Acrobat Format 104 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 77 KB (word format)

         Virtuous Destruction, Decisive Speed
        Adobe Acrobat Format 55 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 49 KB (word format)

         The Revolution in Military Affairs and the Middle East: If this is a Revolution,
         then we are the Counterrevolutionists
        Adobe Acrobat Format 101 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 239 KB (word format)

         Potential Conflict in Latin America
        Adobe Acrobat Format 110 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 80 KB (word format)

         Transforming Transformation -- Will it Change the Character of War?
        Adobe Acrobat Format 81 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 219 KB (word format)

         Force Structure for High- and Low-Intensity Warfare: The Anglo-American
         Experience and Lessons for the Future
        Adobe Acrobat Format 115 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 79 KB (word format)

         Special Forces and the Future of Warfare: Will SOF Predominate in 2020?
        Adobe Acrobat Format 274 KB (adobe format)   |   Word Format 950 KB (word format)

The National Intelligence Council routinely sponsors unclassified conferences with outside experts to sharpen the level of debate on critical issues. The views expressed in the following papers are those of individual participants. They are presented not as final reports of the NIC 2020 project but to stimulate discussion and debate. The papers are labeled discussion paper -- does not represent the views of the US Government -- and should not be cited in any other manner.

TOP