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Mapping the Global Future

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The Global Course of the Information Revolution

Technological Trends:
Proceedings of an International Conference

Robert H. Anderson, Philip S. Anton, Steven C. Bankes,
Tora Kay Bikson, Jonathan Caulkins, Peter Denning,
James A. Dewar, Richard O. Hundley, C. Richard Neu


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Contents

Chapter 1: Introduction

Objective of This "Technological Trends" Conference
Considerations on Attempting to Predict Future Developments
Scope of Conference
The Structure of This Report

Chapter 2: Future Visions

Technologies and Artifacts
Communications Technology
Software
Bio-, Nano-, and Materials Technology
Computing Devices and Artifacts
E-commerce and Beyond

Chapter 3: Observations on Future Trends

Questions Posed by the Panel of Observers
The Discussion

Chapter 4: Technology Trends and Artifacts

Technologies/Artifacts That "Will Happen"
Developments Most Likely to Occur, and Most Consequential

Chapter 5: Services

Information Technology and the Character of Business
A Structure for Thinking about Information Technology and Services
Enabling Services
Final Services
Additional Observations

Chapter 6: Markets

Market Criteria
Regional Market Drivers and Limiters
Technology Life Cycle

Chapter 7: Beyond Cyberspace

Introduction
Work
Political Processes and Governance
Education
Crime

Chapter 8: Some Observations on the Group Reports

The First Observer
The Second Observer
The Third Observer

Chapter 9: Concluding Remarks

Photonics
Universal Connectivity
Ubiquitous Computing
Pervasive Sensors
Global Information Utilities
Invention, Innovation, and Market Forces

Chapter 10: What Comes Next

Appendices

B. Conference Participants

C. Conference Agenda

Bibliography


The Global Course of the Information Revolution: Technological Trends: Proceedings of an International Conference, Robert H. Anderson, Philip S. Anton, Steven C. Bankes, Tora Kay Bikson, Jonathan Caulkins, Peter Denning, James A. Dewar, Richard O. Hundley, C. Richard Neu CF-157-NIC, 2000, (105 pp., $9.00, ISBN: 0833029061). The study was under the auspices of RAND's National Security Research Division. This document may also be ordered as a printed report.

Publiched 2000 by RAND
Copyright © 2000 RAND

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