| Following
the publication in 2008 of the National Intelligence
Assessment on the National Security Implications
of Global Climate Change to 20301
the National Intelligence Council (NIC) embarked
on a research effort to explore in greater detail
the national security implications of climate change
in six countries/regions of the world: India, China,
Russia, North Africa, Mexico and the Caribbean,
and Southeast Asia and the Pacific Island States.
For
each country/region we are adopting a three-phase
approach.
- In the first phase, commissioned research reports
explore the latest scientific findings on the
impact of climate change in the specific region/country.
- In the second phase, a workshop or conference
composed of experts from outside the Intelligence
Community (IC) will determine if anticipated changes
from the effects of climate change will force
inter- and intra-state migrations, cause economic
hardship, or result in increased social tensions
or state instability within the country/region.
- In the final phase, the NIC Long-Range Analysis
Unit (LRAU) will lead an IC effort to identify
and summarize for the policy community the anticipated
impact on US national security.
The
targeted time frame is to 2030, although various
studies referenced in these reports have diverse
time frames.
The
reports available from this project appear in the
list below.
Footnotes
The
National Intelligence Council sponsors workshops
and research with nongovernmental experts to gain
knowledge and insight and to sharpen debate on critical
issues. The views expressed in these reports do
not reflect official US Government positions.
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