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The
United Nations and the Crisis of Multilateralism
Robert
L. Hutchings
Chairman, National Intelligence Council
Keynote
Address
University of Pennsylvania
Model United Nations Conference
6 November 2003
The
organizers of this conference have remarkable foresight!
Just this week UN Secretary General Kofi Annan announced
the formation of a 16-member panel of senior statesmen
from around the world to advise him on UN reform. In setting
up this panel, the Secretary General said that the international
community has reached “a fork in the road”
that may be “no less decisive than 1945 itself when
the United Nations was founded.” He continued with
this blunt appraisal:
This
past year has shaken the foundations of collective security,
and undermined confidence in the possibility of collective
responses to our common problems. The aim of this high-level
panel is to recommend clear and practical measures for
ensuring effective collective action.
If
you are familiar with the public utterances of UN Secretaries
General, you know that this is a long way from their usual
careful way of speaking. So we meet at an extraordinary
time – for the United Nations and for the larger
international community. And I thank you for inviting
me to join you! I’m told there are nearly 1,000
of you from 50 colleges and universities in the audience,
so between us we should be able to come up with some ideas
of our own for UN reform.
Let’s
start with a basic observation. The United Nations does
not exist in a vacuum; its problems are a reflection of
the international environment in which it operates.
The
UN is in crisis because we are in a period of profound
flux in world affairs, which I would attribute to three
key factors. First, the end of the Cold War and
the collapse of the Soviet Union had a profound effect
on the international system. Because the Cold War ended
peacefully, we may not have appreciated just how profound
a change this represented. It obviously had an enormous
effect on the countries of the former Soviet bloc. But
it also had a powerful effect on the Western alliance
system, which no longer had a common enemy or sense of
common purpose.
Second,
the terrorist attacks of 9/11 affected us singularly.
Our friends and allies offered sympathy and support, of
course, but they did not and do not feel the same sense
of urgency that we do, so the international consensus
of the previous era has eroded.
Third,
the breakdown of consensus over Iraq left the United Nations
and the international system profoundly shaken. Never
before have the Western allies failed to agree on such
a fundamental issue of international security. So the
crisis in the UN system is also a crisis of multilateralism.
One
element of this crisis has to do with what we might call
the problem of American power. Other countries have tended
to see the UN (and other institutions of the multilateral
system) as a means of constraining U.S. power through
a system of rules and norms. And the United States for
the most part has accepted these constraints willingly
because we, too, have a strong interest in those rules
and norms. Indeed, for most of the last century, we have
been the greatest champions of a rule-based international
order. This has been the tacit bargain: we accept constraints
on our freedom of action, and in return we derive benefits
from a rule-based order that we have had the greatest
influence in shaping.
The
breakdown of consensus over Iraq called that bargain into
question. Some say the United States caused this crisis
by acting without UN mandate in Iraq. But there is another
way of looking at this. Our Government also saw
this episode as a failure of multilateralism – the
failure of other states to join us in enforcing the UN’s
mandate in Iraq – a mandate repeated in 16 separate
Security Council resolutions over more than a decade.
Those who opposed the war but support the UN need to ask
themselves: How can one support the UN without upholding
its principles – and enforcing them when necessary?
This
is the tension between principle and power, and it is
something that those of us in public life grapple with
all the time. Principle without resolve can be empty posturing
or abstract political correctness; power without principle
is the law of the jungle that demeans and ultimately destroys
us all, weak and strong alike.
Power
and Principle in the UN Charter
This
tension between power and principle – or between
Realism and Idealism, if you like – has been with
the United Nations since its founding. It is not just
a characteristic of the UN: it is the primary
dynamic which has enabled the organization to evolve
and adapt over time. It is the confusing mix of backroom
deals and lofty rhetoric in the pursuit of self-interest
and high ideals. We see it in the United Nations all the
time, and I expect that most of you will experience it
here over the next few days.
The
UN Charter and Universal Declaration of Human Rights in
1948 are expressions of true idealism. They affirm the
ideals of human rights, freedom, peace, education, health,
and livelihood – in terms more sweeping than our
own Bill of Rights. The fundamental goals delineated in
the Charter (Article 1: Purposes and Principles) include
some of the most audaciously hopeful language in all of
human history:
- “to
maintain international peace and security”
- “to
develop friendly relations among nations”
- “to
solve international problems of an economic, social,
cultural, or humanitarian character”
- “to
be a center for harmonizing the actions of nations in
the attainment of common ends”
At the same
time, the Charter reflected the power realities of the
day. It carefully granted veto power to the United States
along with its World War II allies – Britain, France,
and the Soviet Union – with China thrown in for
good measure. Some issues were reserved for the Security
Council and these five permanent members rather than for
the General Assembly. So an organization based on the
“sovereign equality of nations” affirmed from
the outset that some nations are more equal than others.
In constructing
the UN system this way, the framers were drawing lessons
from Versailles and the failure of the League of Nations.
(And the League’s failure, in my view, was not only
– or primarily – due to the United States
Senate’s failure to ratify; the League’s core
problem was that it was never rooted in the realities
of power.) As a political matter, President Roosevelt
saw the UN as a means of extending cooperation among the
four wartime allies – he saw them as the “Four
Horsemen” – into the post-war order
– and a mechanism for keeping the U.S engaged internationally.
The
UN and the Cold War
The new United
Nations organization jumped immediately into some of hottest
conflicts of the day in Korea, the Middle East, and the
Congo. With active U.S. leadership in advancing the principle
of “self-determination,” the UN played a key
role in de-colonization, welcoming into the international
community a host of former European colonies, mainly in
Africa, as newly independent states. And it did heroic
work in settling hundreds of thousands of European refugees
in the aftermath of the war, earning the UN one of its
eight Nobel Peace Prizes.
But the deepening
of Cold War hostilities made it impossible for the new
organization to fulfill its core function of preserving
peace and security. The Soviet Union and China used their
veto power to effectively block collective action. Meanwhile,
the principle of equality of states allowed some, particularly
in the Non-Aligned Movement, to dominate the General Assembly
– and often reduce it to a forum for anti-Israeli
diatribe.
The end of the Cold War in 1990-91 opened up new possibilities
for collective action. The ability of the United States
to enlist Soviet support in condemning the Iraqi invasion
of Kuwait led the first President Bush to advance the
vision of a “new world order,” in which the
United Nations could function as its framers intended.
Indeed the Gulf War of 1991 was only the second time in
its history (the Korean War being the first) that the
United Nations actually authorized and organized coalitions
of the willing to enforce its mandate. There was also
a hopeful surge of more elaborate norms of human rights
and international behavior, spurred by the spread of democracy
across the former Communist world.
But the end
of the Cold War also thawed out historical problems that
had been frozen over for decades. The disintegration of
Yugoslavia and of the Soviet Union itself were followed
by a spate of ethnic conflicts in Somalia, Rwanda, Sierra
Leone, Timor, and elsewhere, overwhelming the capacity
of UN peacekeeping operations. From an average of around
10,000 peacekeeping troops throughout the 1960s, 1970s,
and 1980s, the number of UN peacekeepers had risen to
nearly 80,000 by the mid-‘90s. And the character
of peacekeeping had grown much harder: whereas before
the UN had been called in to keep peace between
two parties who wanted it preserved (as in Cyprus and
the Sinai), the UN was now brought in to make
peace between warring factions that were not yet committed
to reconciliation (as in Bosnia and Rwanda).
The UN –
and for that matter, the international community –
was similarly unable to meet the challenge posed by the
proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and the growing
threat of international terrorism. Although the UN has
taken some helpful steps in the fight against terrorism,
it was left largely on the sidelines as the United States
led coalitions first against the Taliban regime in Afghanistan
and then to depose Saddam Hussein in Iraq.
Reforming
the United Nations
This brings
us to the present crisis of multilateralism to which I
referred at the outset. There is no doubt that the UN
system has been profoundly shaken by the breakdown of
international consensus over Iraq. The one thing to which
nearly everyone might agree is that the UN system is broken,
which is why the Secretary General has stepped forward
with his dramatic challenge. Without trying to predict
where Kofi Annan’s call for “radical reform”
will come out, or what conclusions his high-level panel
might reach, let me highlight some of the key issues.
Security
Council reform. The Security Council reflects the
international conditions of 1945. Its five permanent members
do not represent the real distribution of power and influence
in the world (if indeed they ever did), and the 10 rotating
members are often small and unrepresentative, with the
result that a new tier of major countries is excluded.
The Secretary General has mentioned specifically Brazil,
Nigeria, South Africa, Egypt, India, and Indonesia, and
others could be added to the list.
Is it actually
possible for the UN to agree on a new line-up of members
for the Security Council, as politically controversial
as that would be? Without trying to place a bet, let me
just note that this is part of the larger challenge of
taking an international order that was built for the world
of the mid-20th century and refashioning it for a new
and very different era. I am referring here not just to
the UN but also to NATO, the IMF and World Bank, and other
institutions.
UNGA reform. Reforming the General Assembly might
be even harder. With the explosion of new states, the
number of countries represented is now nearly 200. The
sheer size of the body, coupled with the principle of
“sovereign equality of states,” gives every
state, no matter how small or despotic, the ability to
stifle action. And this exaltation of the state as the
sole unit of international political life means that other
expressions of world affairs – business, foundations,
educational institutions, international civil society,
etc. – are excluded. These are phenomena of our
modern world, and they need to be brought into the UNGA
debate. Kofi Annan has also suggested that the General
Assembly refer more issues to the specialized committees,
where they might actually get acted upon, and to develop
new rules that rely less on consensus (whereby a single
state can prevent action by the others) and more on majority
voting.
Peacekeeping. The crisis in UN peacekeeping to
which I referred earlier led the Secretary General to
commission a major study on UN Peacekeeping Operations
by a panel of experts under the chairmanship of Ambassador
Lakhdar Brahimi of Algeria. Issued in August 2000, the
Brahimi Report concluded that the UN should never again
take on peacekeeping missions without a viable operational
environment, adequate funding, and strong backing from
the Security Council members. Some have proposed a standing
UN peacekeeping force, but it is highly unlikely that
the United States or other Security Council members would
ever agree to this. A more viable and flexible approach
would be to call on regional organizations like NATO to
take on peacekeeping responsibilities under UN mandate,
as is the case with the Stabilization Force (SFOR) in
Bosnia.
Collective
legitimization. The UN’s function in authorizing
or legitimating the use of force obviously has been weakened
by the failure to reach agreement on Iraq. Of course,
most of the instances in which force has been used since
the UN’s founding were not sanctioned by
the UN, and that did not necessarily make them illegitimate.
For example, the international community could not have
rescued Kosovo from Serbian aggression in 1999 through
the UN, because Russia would have vetoed, so we acted
under NATO mandate instead. But it is worth noting that
in both cases – Kosovo and Iraq – the United
States and its coalition partners went back to the UN
for post-facto legitimization. It is critically
important – and indeed a key tenet of just war doctrine
– that force be used with legitimate authority.
And although there are other sources of legitimacy, the
UN is uniquely placed to confer collective, multilateral
authority.
Conclusion
So whether
you line up Left, Right, or Center in your politics, the
crisis of multilateralism needs to be taken seriously.
The world may be militarily unipolar, with no country
or group of countries capable of rivaling U.S. military
power, but we live in a globalized economy and an interdependent
world. The most critical issues affecting our security
and well being – terrorism, proliferation of weapons
of mass destruction, trade, cultural interaction, and
many others – can only be addressed in
concert with other countries.
Ideas for UN
reform have been debated for years without progress. But
there is reason to believe that the prospects for action
are better this time. For one thing, the Secretary General
has put his personal authority behind the effort and has
appointed a high-level panel whose findings will be hard
to ignore. And UN member states themselves are feeling
a greater sense of urgency regarding the UN’s future.
As the debate
takes shape, we should not demand or expect too much of
the UN, which after all is but a reflection of the larger
realities of international politics. But reform of the
UN is part of the answer. It was little more
than a decade ago that the other President Bush
saw the UN, freed from the constraints of the Cold War,
as contributing to a “new world order.” Let’s
not give up on that ideal just yet, but let’s pursue
it with a sense of realism.
Perhaps this
conference can show the way. Good luck with it!
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