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National Intelligence Council - Global Trends - Archive

Monday, December 03, 2012

National Intelligence Council - What's New

Thursday, April 12, 2012

National Intelligence Council

What's New

Body Content Starts Here

National Intelligence Council - What We Do

Monday, April 02, 2012

National Intelligence Council

What We Do

National Intelligence Council Seal

Within the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, the NIC carries out its mission under the direction of the Deputy Director for Intelligence Integration and the Chairman, Vice Chairman, and Counselor, who lead a corps of National Intelligence Officers.

The NIOs serve as the “analytic arm” of the National Intelligence Manager teams and are responsible for producing finished intelligence analysis.

They support the NIMs’ efforts to integrate US intelligence and develop and implement Unifying Intelligence Strategies to address the nation’s most pressing national security concerns.

Mission Areas

The NIC’s core missions are to:

  • The NIC promotes exemplary use of analytic tradecraft and standards, including alternative analysis, new analytic tools and techniques, and wider collaboration within the IC.
  • Provide senior policymakers with coordinated views of the entire Intelligence Community, including National Intelligence Estimates.
  • Prepare IC principals and represent the IC at National Security Council Principals and Deputies Committee meetings.
  • Tap non-USG experts in academia and the private sector to broaden the IC’s knowledge and perspectives.

Although most of the NIC’s work is classified, the NIC also produces or commissions unclassified reports, many of which can be found in the documents section of this page.

Global Trends

Every four years the NIC publishes an update of its Global Trends series that identifies key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a couple of decades into the future. The most recent Global Trends report, Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds was released on December 10, 2012.

National Intelligence Council - NIC Publications

Monday, April 02, 2012

National Intelligence Council

NIC Publications

Special Products


Commissioned Research Reports



Conference Reports



Declassified NIEs

The NIC Collection Includes hundreds of declassified National Intelligence Estimates and other publications produced by the NIC or its predecessor organizations, the Office of National Estimates and the Office of Reports and Estimates. The NIC database, housed within CIA's Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) Electronic Reading Room, includes some 1100 documents that have been declassified and made available to the public, either partially or in their entirety, under FOIA. The earliest of these dates back to 1946; several were published as late as the 1990s. Additional items are being added regularly. Collectively, they constitute an important historical record of Intelligence Community analysis at the highest level; individually, many make for fascinating and instructive reading.

Browse the NIC Collection:

By Geographic Region

AfricaEast Asia | Europe | Latin America | Near East and South Asia | Russia / Eurasia

By Function

Conventional Military Issues | Economic Issues | Science and Technology | Strategic and Nuclear Issues | Transnational Threats

By Product Type

National Intelligence Estimates | Other NIC Publications

National Intelligence Council - Global Trends

Monday, April 02, 2012

National Intelligence Council

Global Trends

For nearly two decades, National Intelligence Council's Global Trends Report has been shaping strategic conversations within and beyond the US Government. Since the first Global Trends was released in 1997, the audience for each report has expanded, generating more interest and reaching a broader audience that the one that preceded it.

A new Global Trends report is published every four years following the U.S. presidential election.

Global Trends: Paradox of Progress

We are living in paradox - industrial and information age achievements are shaping a world both more dangerous and richer with opportunity. Human choices will determine whether promise or peril prevails.
 
Global Trends is the Intelligence Community’s major assessment of the forces - and choices - shaping the world over the next two decades.

National Intelligence Council’s latest edition of the report, Global Trends “Paradox of Progress” was released Jan 9, 2017, exploring trends and scenarios over the next 20 years. Mobile users are currently experiencing issues, view PDF version here.

Global Trends - Paradox of Progress

Not an End, An Invitation

The release of each Global Trends report is not an end, but an invitation, to discuss, debate and inquire further about how the future could unfold. The Global Trends series pushes us to reexamine key assumptions, expectations, and uncertainties about the future.

Unique amongst intelligence products of this depth and stature, the NIC quadrennial Global Trends report is completely unclassified.

Creating Global Trends

Every four years the NIC produces a new assessment of the economic, political, social, technological, and cultural forces collide. In creating the report, the NIC engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forward-looking document to aid policymakers in their long term planning on key issues of worldwide importance.

Critical to its insight and policy-relevance have been meetings worldwide with a wide range of interlocutors—including government officials, scholars, business people, civil society representatives, and others—in workshops, exchanges, and other events designed to stimulate thinking about possible global trajectories and discontinuities over the next two decades. 

Individuals from scores of countries and walks of life have helped the NIC examine trends—including economics, demography, ecology, energy, health, governance, security, identity, and geopolitics—and understand their implications for peace, security, and prosperity worldwide.  

The NIC crystallizes ideas gleaned from these meetings as well as extensive research in a Global Trends report published every four years, between the US Presidential Election Day and Inauguration Day.



 Global Trends 2030  |  Global Trends 2025  |  Global Trends 2020  |  Global Trends 2015  |  Global Trends 2010

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