National Intelligence Council
Global Trends
Domestic News Coverage
Report sees middle class growing, Islamist terrorism subsiding by 2030 - Washington Post
The coming realignment of world powers, foretold in charts - Washington Post
U.S. Forecast as No. 2 Economy but Energy Independent - New York Times
Report Predicts Less Global Poverty, Scarcer Resources - Wall Street Journal
Spies see poverty down, but resource fights ahead - Associated Press
U.S. Intelligence Agencies See a Different World in 2030 - Bloomberg
Where Will You Be in 2030, America? - Bloomberg
U.S. intelligence sees Asia's global power rising by 2030 - Reuters
America’s second chance at global leadership - Reuters
U.S. to face 2030 as 'first among equals,' report projects - CNN Security Clearance
A maturity test for America's foreign policy community - Foreign Policy
Global Trends 2030: Scenarios for Asia’s strategic future - Foreign Policy
U.S. Spies See Superhumans, Instant Cities by 2030 - Wired
China, India, Brazil to emerge as key global players by 2030: US report - New York Daily News
Intelligence community: U.S. out as sole superpower by 2030 - Politico
Global Trends 2030: Worldwide conflicts over water, U.S. to remain superpower - Examiner.com
U.S. Intel Report: China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2030 - FoxBusiness
The world of 2030: U.S. declines; food, water may be scarce - The Ticket, Yahoo.com
US to Lose #1 Economic Ranking to China by 2030: Study - Yahoo Finance
In a single chart, why the US will continue to be first among equals in 2030 - Yahoo Finance
China Seen as World's Largest Economy by 2030 - NASDAQ
What the world will be like in 2030 - CNET, Smarter Planet
Study predicts rise of a global middle class - Los Angeles Times
The World in 2030 Won't Look Anything Like You Think - The Atlantic
Report Sees Change in US Global Status - Voice of America
China's Economy to Outgrow United States' by 2030 - Mother Jones
National Intelligence Council Forecasts Megatrends - Defense.gov
Report on Global Trends Discusses Game Changers - Defense.gov
US intel sees India as rising economic powerhouse in 2030 - MSN News
U.S. Intelligence Report Says Islamist Terrorism ‘Could End by 2030’ - CNS News
Global Trends 2030: U.S. Leadership in a Post-Western World - Scientific American
Shaping the world of 2030 - Christian Science Monitor
Global power will shift by 2030 - Center for Public Integrity
Plague or Plenty? New Report Envisions the World in 2030 - The Daily Beast
Intelligence report predicts IT in 2030, a world of cyborgs with Asia as top power - NetworkWorld
US National Intelligence Council forecasts a radically transformed world by the 2030s - The Verge
U.S. sees tech's 'center of gravity' shifting to Asia - Computerworld
Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds - Kurzweil AI
Spy Agency Predicts Megahumans By 2030 - Discovery News
Foreign News Coverage
A top ten for business leaders - The Economist
U.S. intelligence sees Asia's global power rising by 2030 - CNBC Moneycontrol
US sees India as rising economic powerhouse in 2030 - The Economic Times
China, India, Brazil to emerge as key global players by 2030: US report - Times of India
‘Asia to overtake North America, Europe in global power by 2030′ - Firstpost, India
US 'first among equals' in 2030 - Bangkok Post
US report sees Asia's global power rising by 2030 - China Standard
Asia's global power rising by '30: US report - The China Post
Report: Asia poised to be top globally - United Press International
How China and India will be more powerful that the U.S. by 2030 - The Daily Mail Online
World's Possible Futures Predicted - Daily Express
Pakistan, 10 others to surpass EU by 2030: US govt report - Dawn.com
US intelligence says India to become economic superpower, may inch closer to China by 2030 - In.com
In the year 2030... - Manilla Standard Today
U.S. National Intelligence Council predicts ‘incremental’ Palestine - JTA
US intelligence community warns of rising climate security threat- The Guardian
Nation among ‘Next Eleven’ to overtake EU-27 by 2030 - Oman Tribune
'Unofficial steps could lead to 'Palestine' by 2030' - Jerusalem Post
US intelligence mulls three scenarios for EU in 2030 - EurActive
US intelligence mulls three scenarios for EU in 2030 - EurActive - Turkish Weekly
US superpower status will be over by 2030 says new report - Australia News
US Intel sees Kurdistan dividing Turkey - Macenonian International News Agency
National Intelligence Council
Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds
Global Trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. In depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources were employed in the production of this report. Visit this page for continuing coverage of Global Trends 2030.
Download Global Trends 2030
This edition of Global Trends is the most widely disseminated in its history. The report is available for the most popular content platforms and e-readers. Brief talking points are available here.
Events & Live Coverage
On December 10th, 2012 at 1PM Eastern the Atlantic Council will kick off its Global Trends 2030: US Leadership in a Post-Western World, event. The two day conference is being held in partnership with the National Intelligence Council.
BEGINNING AT 1PM 12/10/2012: View a live video stream of the Atlantic Council Global Trends event.
FOLLOW THE NIC ON TWITTER: For coverage of the Atlantic Council Global Trends event and more.
Media Coverage
Global Trends has a global audience. We're keeping track of worldwide media coverage of the Global Trends 2030 report.
View the latest GT2030 articles.
Video
Dr. Mathew J. Burrows, counselor, National Intelligence Counsel and principal author of the NIC's Global Trends 2030 report discusses "Alternative Worlds" in a series of ODNI videos.
To view Dr. Burrows Q&A responses, please vist ODNI's YouTube page.
Additional Resources
See additional research on natural resources used to support the NIC’s Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds
Chief Information Officer
IC Technical Specifications
XML Data Encoding Specification for Trusted Data Format
Overview
This XML Data Encoding Specification for Trusted Data Format (IC-TDF.XML) defines detailed implementation guidance for using Extensible Markup Language (XML) to encode IC-TDF data.
Information sharing within the national intelligence enterprise will increasingly rely on information assurance metadata (including enterprise data headers) to allow interagency access control, automated exchanges, and appropriate protection of shared intelligence. A structured, verifiable representation of security metadata bound to the intelligence data is required in order for the enterprise to become inherently "smarter" about the information flowing in and around it. Such a representation, when implemented with other data formats, improved user interfaces, and data processing utilities, can provide part of a larger, robust information assurance infrastructure capable of automating some of the management and exchange decisions today being performed by human beings.
The Intelligence Community (IC) has standardized the various classification and control markings established for information sharing within the Information Security Markings (ISM), Information Resource Metadata (IRM), and Enterprise Data Header (EDH) XML specifications of the Intelligence Community Enterprise Architecture (ICEA) Data Standards. The IC Trusted Data Format XML specification further expands on this body of work, adapting and extending it as necessary for TDF to function as the IC submission format for binding assertion metadata with data resource(s). This TDF functionality supports the IC way ahead strategy of implementing secure cloud-based information exchange and discovery on the IC Enterprise
This specification applies to the IC, as defined by the National Security Act of 1947, as amended; and such other elements of any other department or agency as may be designated by the President or designated jointly by the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) and the head of the department or agency concerned, as an element of the IC. Joint and Coalition forces may use this specification, but it is not required.
This specification is maintained by the IC Chief Information Officer via the Data Standards Coordination Activity (DSCA) and Common Metadata Standards Tiger Team (CMSTT).
Technical Specification Downloads
Latest Approved Public Release:
- XML Data Encoding Specification for Trusted Data Format (V2021-NOV - Standalone Package)
- XML Data Encoding Specification for Trusted Data Format (V2021-NOV - Convenience Package)
- XML Data Encoding Specification for Trusted Data Format (V2021-NOV - Light Package)
Mission Requirements
Information sharing within the national intelligence enterprise will increasingly rely on information assurance metadata (including enterprise data headers) to allow interagency access control, automated exchanges, and appropriate protection of shared intelligence. A structured, verifiable representation of security metadata bound to the intelligence data is required in order for the enterprise to become inherently "smarter" about the information flowing in and around it. Such a representation, when implemented with other data formats, improved user interfaces, and data processing utilities, can provide part of a larger, robust information assurance infrastructure capable of automating some of the management and exchange decisions today being performed by human beings.
The Intelligence Community (IC) has standardized the various classification and control markings established for information sharing within the Information Security Markings (ISM), Information Resource Metadata (IRM), and Enterprise Data Header (EDH) XML specifications. The IC Trusted Data Format XML specification further expands on this body of work, adapting and extending it as necessary for TDF to function as the IC submission format for binding assertion metadata with data resource(s). This TDF functionality supports the IC way ahead strategy of implementing secure cloud-based information exchange and discovery on the IC Enterprise.
National Intelligence Council
Global Trends
Chief Information Officer
IC Technical Specifications
CDR Retrieve
Overview
This IC/DoD enterprise encoding specification defines requirements and provides guidelines for the realization of the Content Discovery and Retrieval (CDR) Retrieve Component as a web service using both the REST style and SOAP bindings, hereafter termed a Retrieve service. This component provides a common interface and behavioral model for IC and DoD content collections, enabling content consumers to retrieve relevant content resources from disparate collections across the IC/DoD Enterprise. The content of this specification describes a Retrieve service’s interface and other aspects in detail, providing enough information for Retrieve service providers and implementers to create CDR-compliant Retrieve services.
The Retrieve Component, as defined by the Intelligence Community/Department of Defense (IC/DoD) CDR Specification Framework, serves as a “pull” mechanism to access the information resource.
The REST Retrieve Component relies on mechanisms that are already well established in the internet infrastructure:
- HTTP GET method - HTTP/HTTPS – http://www.w3.org/Protocols/
- HTTP Result Codes (maintained by Internet Assigned Numbers Authority – IANA) Hypertext Transfer Protocol (HTTP) Status Code Registry – http://www.iana.org/assignments/http-status-codes
- MIME Types (maintained by IANA): MIME types http://www.ietf.org/rfc/rfc2045.txt
The SOAP Retrieve specification covers the following aspects of a SOAP-based Retrieve Component:
- Service Interface defines the base SOAP constructs to expressing inputs, outputs, and faults
- Implementation provides additional implementation guidance beyond the behavior and interface guidance
- Reference Documentation provides references to other CDR and community artifacts (i.e., CDR Reference Architecture)
The Retrieve Component supports the retrieval for a specified resource from a Content Collection. The Retrieve Component, as defined, can only support returning a resource directly to the requestor. It cannot redirect output to a component other than the requestor. In addition, no special handling instructions (e.g., routing) may be specified.
This specification supports Intelligence Community Directive 501(ICD 501), Discovery, Dissemination or Retrieval of Information within the Intelligence Community, which establishes policies for (1) discovery, and (2) dissemination or retrieval of intelligence and intelligence-related information collected, or analysis produced by the Intelligence Community.
Compliance with this specification is measured against all aspects of the technical and documentary artifacts contained within the specification release package. This specification is maintained by the IC Chief Information Officer via the Services Coordination Activity (SCA) and Content Discovery and Retrieval Integrated Product Team (CDR IPT).
Technical Specification Downloads
Latest Approved Public Release:
- IC-DoD REST Interface Specification for CDR Retrieve (V2 - Standalone Package (Release Date: 3 Oct 2012))
- IC-DoD SOAP Interface Specification for CDR Retrieve (V2 - Standalone Package (Release Date: 3 Oct 2012))
Value Proposition
This specification is designed to fulfill a number of requirements in support of the transformational efforts of the Intelligence Community and Department of Defense Enterprise(IC/DoD). Features of this specification are to:
- Enable retrieval of an identified content resource from the Content Collection in which it is stored.
- Initiate delivery of the retrieved resource to the requestor or to a designated alternate location using the Deliver Component.




